Ex-Anthropic insider tells CNN how AI could kill all humans by 2030
- URL: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i30jVPqQeOM
- Channel: CNN
- Fetched: 2026-09-12T09:31:10+00:00
- Language: English
Transcript
[00:00] Jacob Coxin has left Anthropic sounding the alarm
about the dangers of artificial intelligence on
[00:05] his way out the door. The 27-year-old outlined
his concerns in a series of social media posts
[00:10] when he quit, writing in part, “The people
building AI earnestly believe that it
[00:15] could kill us all by the end of the decade.”
This is not a marketing stunt. If anything,
[00:19] many executives and senior researchers will couch
their phrasing in the press to sound sensible. But
[00:25] I hear the same people express fear privately. No
other human activity poses this level of danger.
[00:31] At least one of his former colleagues agrees.
Evan Hubbinger, an alignment scient at Anthropic,
[00:38] shared Coxin’s post, adding, “Jacob is correct
here. We really do earnestly believe AI could kill
[00:44] all humans. I personally think it is greater than
10% within the next decade. I believe anthropic is
[00:51] light is trying its best, but we do not yet have
a plan to solve alignment for super intelligence
[00:57] and are not clearly on track to. An anthropic
spokesperson tells CNN, quote, “We have always
[01:02] been transparent that AI will bring both enormous
benefits and unprecedented risks. To address these
[01:08] risks, we continue to build models with some of
the strongest safeguards in the industry.” They
[01:12] go on to say, “We were the first lab to publish
a responsible scaling policy, a public framework
[01:17] dedicated to mitigating catastrophic risk from AI
models, and we continue to aggressively test our
[01:23] models for dangerous capabilities in areas like
cyber security and biology and publish what we
[01:28] learned for scrutiny and research.” Now, for his
part, Coxin has worked as a researcher at both
[01:33] anthropic and open AI. He says neither company is
acting uh responsibly. Jacob Coxin joins us now.
[01:41] Um, Jacob, I appreciate you you being with us. Um,
first of all, I assume you are saying literally
[01:48] that you believe uh that AI could kill us all by
the end of the decade. How would that happen? Like
[01:57] what would that actually look like? Yeah. So, the
precise scenario sounds a little bit like science
[02:04] fiction. Uh it sounds like something that’s not
real, but I think it is frighteningly real. And
[02:09] it’s it’s easiest to understand it if you think
about real things that happened two months ago.
[02:13] So two months ago, o open AI agents uh AIS hacked
into third party infrastructure entirely of their
[02:20] own accord. And this was like a concentrated
hacking spree that they carried out of their
[02:25] own valition. And I think that if you extrapolate
into the future the level of capabilities of these
[02:30] AIs with the same independent valition, they
could cause extreme havoc. for example, hacking
[02:35] critical infrastructure, building extinction
level bioweapons. There’s a lot of uh ways that
[02:43] the AI could actuate itself in the world. I is
it specifically when did your feelings about this
[02:49] technology change? Was it something about the rate
of progress that you’ve seen? Yeah. So I think
[02:56] it’s really important to just look at the rate of
progress and say for example in areas like coding
[03:01] or math. A couple years ago these AIs were just
about helping humans a little bit. They could give
[03:05] you suggestions. Now they’re close to replacing
them. We still need humans at the moment but
[03:10] quite plausibly within a year we’ll no longer need
humans for doing research in many areas. Only on
[03:16] Tuesday OpenAI solved a millennium problem. One of
the biggest unsolved open problems in mathematics
[03:21] purely autonomously using an AI. And I think
what’s most scary is if AI is used to make itself
[03:27] more intelligent. So you can take an AI and give
it the problem of AI research. Just like currently
[03:33] they’ve given it math research. You could make it
do the tasks that we’re currently doing. And then
[03:37] you get what’s called an intelligence explosion.
The AI just gets smarter and smarter with no human
[03:42] involvement necessary until you have a thing
that is vastly smarter than than humans. And
[03:47] this could be coming very soon. We mentioned
a former colleague of yours currently works at
[03:52] Anthropic. basically endorsing the assessment
that AI could potentially kill everyone within
[03:56] a decade. In a follow-up post, he said, “To be
clear, as we say in our in our latest risk report,
[04:01] I think the risk from present models is low. What
I’m worried about is super intelligence arising
[04:06] from recursive self-improvement as we’ve said is
happening faster than than we thought. I assume
[04:11] that’s what you the recursive self-improvement
is what you’ve just spoken about.” Um you do you
[04:16] agree with him that the current models the risk is
low but it’s it’s just the speed with which this
[04:22] is now improving? Exactly. I completely agree.
It’s right now there’s no risk of extinction. The
[04:29] current models the worst they can do is maybe hack
into something potentially cause a lot of damages
[04:35] in in infrastructure but there’s no they’re not
intelligent enough to outsmart us at the level
[04:40] that would lead to to extinction. I think what’s
just crazy is to look at the the rate of progress
[04:46] and there is a very real possibility that in the
immediate future these are years that like next
[04:52] year the year after recursive self-improvement
will happen and we’ll enter the phase of Evans
[04:57] post where he argues that there’s a chance we
could all die like that that is coming soon you
[05:02] know a lot of the these CEOs of these companies
will you know will go to Congress and say hey we
[05:08] would love regulation anthropic in their new
statement right now says is the world would
[05:12] benefit from the industry adopting a lawful
verifiable way to work together to pace how
[05:17] we release powerful models. Um you know the
argument it’s an arms race if the US if a US
[05:23] company doesn’t achieve the best AI a Chinese
company or some bad actors out there might. Do
[05:29] you believe that uh that these companies actually
do want regulation or is it lip service? They
[05:38] they completely do. This is completely honest.
Just in the same way that the response to Evans
[05:42] post was sort of surprise. It was like this
can’t be real. Surely a guy working on this
[05:46] technology can’t actually believe there’s this
level of danger. No, that’s completely genuine.
[05:51] And these people are also completely genuine
when they are begging to be regulated. This is
[05:55] a genuine. and they they find themselves in this
scenario where they’re compelled to race towards
[06:00] building a deadly technology and they would they
would love for some sort of international body to
[06:06] allow them to to approach it at a reasonable
pace. They just don’t trust that the people
[06:10] around them are going to get there in a safe
way. So, they feel like they have to race there,
[06:14] too. You you could have stayed quiet. I mean, I’m
sure you had a great job being paid, I imagine,
[06:20] very well. You’re obviously incredibly smart and
mathematician. Um, why did you decide to speak
[06:26] out? Well, I initially just decided to leave. I
thought I can’t be part of this anymore. But then
[06:32] I uh I realized I could probably make some use
of it. I did not expect it to go this viral. So,
[06:38] what I did is I wrote a Twitter thread out. I
wrote it in a Google doc. I drafted it with a
[06:41] friend. We we collaborated. Yeah. I had a few uh
there were a few friends I discussed uh the best
[06:46] way of expressing myself with um after I decided
to decided to leave. Uh and then I also got some
[06:51] friends to to retweet the thing. I was like, let’s
try and make this a bit viral. But clearly there
[06:55] was latent demand for this thing to absolutely
explode. Like uh I’ve never seen an AI safety
[07:01] tweet go this crazy. I think it’s because people
saw the uh the cyber attacks in the last couple of
[07:06] months. They’re also starting to internalize
the rate of progress. People are starting to
[07:09] realize this is real technology. This is not like
hype. This isn’t going away anytime soon. This is
[07:13] only going to get more crazy. It’s been getting
crazy for the last 6 months. And I think there
[07:17] was that latent understanding of the severity
of the situation that meant that this was like
[07:21] sort of a a match that lit kind of a a flame.
Like I was very shocked by the extent that how
[07:26] quickly it went viral. I asked Anthropics Claude
to give me the risk of AI killing off all humans
[07:33] within the next decade. And at first it didn’t
want to answer the question. It sort of gave
[07:38] me the runaround but then I pressed it and then
anthropic zone model told me between two and 5%.
[07:45] I think the question many of us would want
to know is how would AI try to get this?
[07:52] Oh jeez Boris. I mean you know there
the the list of threats grows by the
[07:58] day. We know first of all right that there is a
a growing body of evidence that this technology
[08:06] uh has capabilities in the creation of boweapons
in the creation of cyber security hacks that uh
[08:12] are unprecedented and unguardable against. We just
saw uh just a a couple of weeks ago a a California
[08:20] uh u research uh facility basically saying that
they had created through AI in two days a cyber
[08:27] security hack that would basically infect one of
the largest messaging apps in all of the world on
[08:32] your phone without you really even having to ever
touch the phone. There are incredible amounts of
[08:37] danger coming here. And I think what’s what
all of these researchers are so worried about
[08:40] and what they’re talking about now so publicly
is the recursive ability the ability of these
[08:45] technologies to improve themselves. Anthropic
has said at this point and some of this this is
[08:49] the weird thing is you can’t quite distinguish the
marketing language from the warning language here.
[08:53] You know the the warning is that Claude evidently
could make the next version of itself without any
[08:59] human intervention. We’re at a place where this
technology is improving itself incredibly quickly.
[09:04] And I would just point out Jacob Coxin, the person
here, he is walking away from an immense payday,
[09:09] an estimated 7 weeks before this company
is supposed to go public. This guy who is
[09:12] core to the effort of pre-training the data is
walking away from one of the greatest payouts
[09:17] in the history of capitalism. And so I think
it’s really important we listen to a guy who
[09:21] has this much at stake leaving with no plans for
anything else and saying something as scary as